The model runs have come further north and west with this storm and now the Nam model has come further north and west and other models as well. They have also all been showing more precip. One storm at a time it is with me and this storm right now looks to me like another 1-3 inch + snow for Washington D.C, We will keep you updated on any future storms. Here is the 7 day for Washington D.C from WUSA TV9. All I have to say is look at all the snow in the forecast, and watch as things change. Take care everyone.

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12z Canadian Model Run Further North and West With Moderate snow over Washington D.C for Hour 55 – Hour 64.

Looking at the models this morning there have been some slight differences. The 0z GFS model was not showing much of any snow for the 0z run. On the 6z run there was a trend to the north and a little more precip coming up the coast.

00z GFS Run Hour 82

06Z GFS Run Hour 76

So what is the point. Well each run has shown a little more precip than the previous run. So light to moderate snow can be expected. I mentioned yesterday that accuweather had 1-3 inches of snow in the forecast for Tuesday Thru Wednesday. Well that is back out of the forecast, however I do still expect some snow then. What I have noticed with the models is that it can only really handle one storm at a time. That would explain why the models showed pretty much nothing in earlier runs and in later runs shows more moisture. Now it still could do next to nothing. But as we have seen this Friday and Saturday, The weather really likes throwing us curve balls. Miller and Adrian did an excellent job covering this weekends storm and I am sure they will continue into the future.

P.S. The Canadian Model 00z run showed a storm coming up the coast but not really developing enough to get the moderate and heavy precip shield north and west enough to produce 1-3 inches of accumulation in Washington or Philadelphia. But the big winners will be Delaware and southern Maryland and the Eastern Maryland shore. We will need to watch closely these models for trends north and west or for this particularly week storm to have more energy like it has shown in the past 2 runs. I will focus on the weekend threat Wednesday evening. Take care everyone.

Today we saw the storm deliver 4-8 inches of snow over Washington D.C and Surrounding areas. The snow made it all the way up to new york and I would not be surprised if some of them get up there get up to 1 inch. While the storm Is not as large as it was in the southeast still it is a decent snowstorm. The next one that bears watching is one on Tuesday evening the Accuweather says may deliver 1-3 inches of snow here in Washington and possibly even a larger storm coming all the way up the coast next week. We will bring you further updates as they come in. Please leave us with your comments and snow-totals. Take Care everyone, enjoy the snow, and stay warm.

Snow prediction totals increase. Why? The storm is farther north than expected. That is good news for folks here around Washington D.C. The Models all day long have been creeping north more and more and now the storm has moved so far north that it has prompted the National Weather Service To Issue a Winter Storm Warning for southern Maryland And A winter Weather Advisory for D.C and Prince Georges county. It is possible for the storm to shift further north and if it does Washington D.C and Prince Georges county could go under a winter storm warning with 4-8 inches of snow possible. Right now I will go with 3-5 inches for the Washington D.C Metro area and 1-3 inches for the Baltimore area. We will keep you updated with this winter storm as it continuities to throw us curve balls. Take Care.

Hello everyone. Their are now Winter Storm Watches and Warnings up for areas from TX and OK spreading towards TN, and then to the carolinas. Here is a map of them, and then a map of what i think might happen. Dante,Adrian, and myseldf will keep you updated on this major winter storm. Have a great evening!

-Miller Hyatt

 What is a Severe Weather Watch and a Warning?
*As This Winter Storm Approaches People in the warned areas should be knowledgable of what is expected for their area as potentially hazardous weather conditions can develop.  This will give you time to prepare hopefully and save lives.  There is a video on The Weather Advance website that goes into what A Severe Weather Watch and Warning is.  Watch this video and stay informed of incoming threatning weather if it approaches your area.  Hazardous weather conditions include the following:

*Winter Storm Watch/Warning – Hazardous winter weather conditions that pose a threat to life and/or property are occurring, imminent, or highly likely. The generic term, winter storm warning, is used for a combination of two or more of the following winter weather events; heavy snow, freezing rain, sleet and strong winds.

*Tornado Watch/Warning - Conditions are favorable for the development of severe thunderstorms and tornadoes in and close to the watch area. These watches are issued for large areas by the Storm Prediction Center in Norman, Oklahoma, and are usually valid for five to eight hours.

*Severe Thunderstorm Watch/Warning - Conditions are favorable for the development of severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. A severe thunderstorm contains large damaging hail of 3/4 inch (20 mm) diameter or larger, and/or damaging winds greater than 58 mph (95 km/h or 50 knots) or greater. Isolated tornadoes are also possible but not expected to be the dominant severe weather event. These watches are issued for large areas by the Storm Prediction Center in Norman, Oklahoma, and are usually valid for five to eight hours.

*(Flash) Flood Watch/Warning - Conditions are favorable for (flash) flooding in and close to the watch area. These watches are issued by the Weather Forecast Office and are usually issued six to twenty-four hours in advance of expected flood potential. In Canada, a Heavy Rainfall Warning has a similar meaning.

*Flood Watch/Warning - General or areal flooding of streets, low-lying areas, urban storm drains, creeks and small streams is occurring, imminent, or highly likely. Flood warnings are issued for flooding that occurs more than 6 hours after the excessive rainfall. These warnings are issued on a county by county basis by the local Weather Forecast Office and are generally in effect for 6 to 12 hours.

*High Wind Watch/Warning – Sustained winds of 40 mph (65 km/h) or greater for a duration of one hour or longer or frequent gusts to 58 mph (93 km/h) or greater.

*Remember to stay tuned to The Weather Advance Storm Team as Dante, Miller and Myself give  you updates.

Well, the time is getting closer for this Winter Storm. Some of the Models are still disagreeing about what precip and where, but the Gfs/Nam show mostly Ice with some snow mixed in for Upstate SC, Peidmont NC. European and Ukie show more snow and some ice for Upstate SC and Piedmont NC. Now other Areas in NC, Tennesse, looks to get Mostly snow from all the models, a maybe a bit of ice to start off. Right now, Noaa has already issued Winter Storm Watches for areas of Western NC, Tri-State NC, Tennesse, etc. Now, Noaa says that They will probably issue more Winter Storm Watches for Areas in the Peidmont of NC and Upstate SC by late tonight or very early tommorow, so they can have more time reviewing the new models. So, here are some models and snow maps:

1. 12z Nam

Now, this is the Map+ Snow Totals  from the 12z NAM for this Winter Storm. It has MAJOR Precip for areas in NC, and parts of Upstate SC. Now, If this were right, Areas of NC would be getting around a Foot of snow, now im not forecasting a foot of snow, but im just interpreting what this model is showing. Parts of the upstate of sc, from this model, would get anywhere from 2-6 inches of snow. Other areas in TN,etc, wouldnt get as much snow as other models show.

2. Oz Canadian Model

This model shows Moderate-Heavy Precip heading into cold air. A mixture of Ice,Sleet,and Snow would be falling around The Upstate of SC, Peidmont of NC. Snow would be falling in other areas of NC, and some in Virginia. Precip would Accumulate, could be moderate- major accumulations in some areas.

3. 12z Ukmet Model

This model shows Moderate-Heavy Precip in areas of the Carolinas and tennesse. Areas in The Upstate of SC and extreme southern Peidmont of NC would be having a mixture of Sleet and Some Snow. Other areas in NC and TN would be experiencing Snow. Accumulations of Wintry Precip would be Moderate-Major in some areas.

* Heres my current thinking of what Might happen. This map might change if any models show a different forecast.

Dante,Adrian, and myself will keep yall updated on the very latest on this winter storm. Have a great Evening.

-Miller Hyatt

Yes everyone, the southeast is in the bulls eye for a winter storm for the first time this season as Miller and Adrian has been pointing out. Monday all the models had all the snow mainly in Northern Virgina and into D.C/Baltimore area now those area will really struggle to get a flurry. Bummer for me who lives 5-10 minutes north of Washington D.C. But we already got a Blizzard so we can share the wealth.

Now the storm will track through the southeast and off the Carolina coast. Leaving most of the area with a good 6-12 inches of snow. I will be able to answer snowfall prediction questions tomorrow evening.The ETA model is showing most of the precip into southern Virgina and northern north Carolina.

Tomorrow I will also have an update on how this winter has gone so far and also have a map of how much more snow this winter areas are likely to get so, stay tuned. Me, Miller, and Adrian will keep you updated on this upcoming winter storm for the southeast.

MY SNOWFALL PREDICTION FORECAST FOR RICHMOND VIRGINA AREA IS NOW AVAILABLE AS WELL AS AN UPDATED 7-DAY. CLICK HERE!

As for right now here is how I see the storm Bellow:

Hello everyone, and hope today has been great. The computer models have been consistent today on showing a Major Winter Storm for the Carolinas, Virginia,etc. So, their are many possibilities that can happen, and we will show you what might happen.

* Scenario 1

This model is the 12z Canadian. It is for Late Friday into Early Saturday. Their would be ice,sleet, snow mixture for places in the Upstate SC, Parts of the Piedmont of NC. Then their would be Snow for most other areas on NC. All this snow would be heading towards Virginia, northward. Now, this would be Heavy precip, so if you got snow or ice it would be A-LOT of accumulation.

* Scenario 2

This model is the 12z GFS.  This would be for Late Friday into Early Saturday. Their would be Snow falling from Asheville to Greensboro, and northward. Then; an Ice, Sleet, Snow mixture for areas in Upstate SC, Extreme Portions of NE GA, And Parts of Piedmont+ Eastern NC.  Again, this has A-Lot of moisture with it and any frozen precipitation that sticks will accumulate to a lot. 

This is the Snowfall estimates from the 12z GFS for this storm. Their would be light snow from Northern Parts of Upstate SC, to parts of Southern Piedmont NC, etc. Then Heavy snow in most areas of NC, to Virginia,Northwestern TX,etc.

* Scenario 3

This is the 12z NAM, and its for Mid-Late Friday. Moisture would be heading towards the Carolinas, Tennessee, Virginia, and some areas would be already getting frozen Precip. Freezing line would be near Northern Sections of Ga, Al,MS, Upstate SC, etc.

—–  Its still a few days away, and things can change, but the models are now getting the hang of what might happen. This storm is tricky to pinpoint where and how much snow will fall, and where the cut off will be. Here’s my current thinking:

Dante,Adrian,and myself will keep yall updated on the latest on this winter storm. Have a wonderful week!

-Miller Hyatt

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